The hurricane forecast calls for a total of nine named storms, three hurricanes and one major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) for the Atlantic Ocean. This forecast is below the long-term average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes each season.
CSU tropical forecasters consider two main reasons for the lower than average 2014 hurricane season:
- Cooler-than-average water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
- Likelihood of at least a moderate El Nino developing later this summer or fall