![\"Hurricane](\"https:\/\/ialert.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ialert-hurricane-isaias-landfall-forecast-track-october-9-2026.jpg\")
\n the NHC forecast track and cone toward the northern Gulf Coast and active coastal and inland warnings. Map: iAlert.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Hurricane Isaias landfall is expected tonight or early Saturday along the northern Gulf Coast, with the National Hurricane Center placing the center
\n about 245 miles south of Pensacola, Florida at 7 AM CDT Friday, October 9, 2026, and maximum sustained winds near 110 mph. A Storm Surge Warning is in
\n effect from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Suwannee River, Florida, where peak inundation of 6 to 9 feet above ground is possible from the
\n Alabama\/Florida border to Grayton Beach, Florida.<\/p>\n
Key points:<\/strong><\/p>\n Get Severe Weather Alerts for Your Location<\/p>\n When any NWS watch, warning, or advisory is issued for your area, iAlert sends you an immediate notification by email, text message, or phone call, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.<\/p>\n Sign Up for Severe Weather Alerts →<\/a>\n<\/div>\n At 7 AM CDT Friday, the center was near latitude 27.0 North, longitude 87.7 West, about 245 miles south of Pensacola, Florida and about 170 miles The coastline framing Hurricane Isaias landfall sits inside a Hurricane Warning that runs from Ocean Springs, Mississippi to the Bay\/Gulf County The Storm Surge Warning stretches from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Suwannee River, with a Storm Surge Watch from the Suwannee River to Storm surge is the headline threat of Hurricane Isaias landfall. The NHC lists peak inundation of 6 to 9 feet from the Alabama\/Florida border to Farther along the coast, 3 to 5 feet is possible from the Steinhatchee River to the Suwannee River, from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Rainfall is the second major hazard in the days around Hurricane Isaias landfall. Through the weekend, the NHC expects 4 to 8 inches across southern Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds up to 185 miles. In the 4 AM CDT A tornado risk begins late this afternoon and continues tonight in coastal Alabama, the Florida Panhandle and far southwest Georgia, then shifts The NHC forecast brings Isaias to a peak intensity of 120 mph at 1 PM CDT Friday, October 9, which would make it a major hurricane, before a The track carries the center inland as a 75 mph Category 1 hurricane by 1 AM CDT Saturday, October 10, and to post-tropical status by 1 PM CDT <\/p>\n\n
Where Hurricane Isaias landfall is expected<\/h2>\n
\n south-southeast of the Mouth of the Mississippi River. The storm was moving north-northeast near 15 mph, and a turn toward the north is expected later
\n today. On that track, Isaias approaches the northern Gulf Coast this afternoon.<\/p>\n
\n line in Florida. Tropical Storm Warnings extend west to the Jefferson\/Plaquemines Parish line in Louisiana and east from the Bay\/Gulf County line to
\n the Aucilla River in Florida.<\/p>\n
\n Yankeetown, Florida. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter data supported the 110 mph intensity ahead of Hurricane Isaias landfall, and a reconnaissance
\n dropsonde measured the minimum central pressure at 958 mb (28.29 inches). Isaias grew from the southwestern Gulf disturbance iAlert covered in the Gulf tropical development outlook<\/a> earlier this week.<\/p>\nHazards and warnings ahead of Hurricane Isaias landfall<\/h2>\n
\n Grayton Beach, 4 to 7 feet from Grayton Beach to Indian Pass, 4 to 6 feet from Dauphin Island, Alabama to the Alabama\/Florida border, and 4 to 6 feet
\n from Indian Pass to the Steinhatchee River.<\/p>\n
\n Dauphin Island, and in Mobile Bay, with 2 to 4 feet from the Suwannee River to Yankeetown. The deepest water during Hurricane Isaias landfall occurs
\n along the immediate coast where winds blow onshore, accompanied by large and dangerous waves.<\/p>\n
\n Alabama, the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, and southwest Georgia, with localized totals to 15 inches in banding over the Panhandle and Big Bend.
\n Much of the rest of the Southeast can expect 2 to 5 inches, locally up to 10 inches over the Southern Appalachians and coastal Carolinas.<\/p>\n
\n forecast\/advisory, tropical-storm-force winds reached farthest in the northwest at about 185 miles and the northeast at about 175 miles, and only about
\n 80 miles in the southwest. Hurricane-force winds reached about 30 miles in the northeast and southeast quadrants and about 17 miles in the
\n southwest.<\/p>\n
\n Saturday to parts of eastern Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, Georgia and the Carolinas. The NOAA Storm Prediction Center has a Slight Risk in place for
\n the Panhandle today, covered in our Florida Panhandle tornado risk
\n outlook<\/a>. Swells from Isaias will also spread toward the Gulf Coast later today, bringing life-threatening surf and rip currents.<\/p>\nForecast track and intensity into Hurricane Isaias landfall<\/h2>\n
\n weakening trend begins near the coast. The agency says Isaias is likely to become a major hurricane this morning and to remain a dangerous hurricane at
\n landfall this evening or tonight.<\/p>\n
\n Saturday over west-central Alabama. The last forecast point with tropical-storm-force winds is 1 PM CDT Saturday, October 10, and the system is
\n forecast to dissipate by 1 AM CDT Monday, October 12. Mariners watching Hurricane Isaias landfall should note that 13-foot seas extend up to about 175
\n miles northeast and northwest of the center, and the NHC has requested 3-hourly ship reports within 300 miles.<\/p>\n